Inflation, Recessions, and the S&P 500: 1950-Present

During this period, the S&P 500 (excluding dividends) has a nominal annualized rate of return of 8.70% and inflation averaged 3.77% for a real (inflation-adjusted) return of 4.75% (see note below). If dividends were reinvested, the nominal rate of return would have been 10.92% or 6.88% after inflation adjustment.
View Data as a Table | Monthly Inflation Data US Inflation Since 1950

Year

Inflation

S&P 500 Returns*

2009

-0.34%

23.45%

2008

3.85%

-37.88%

2007

2.85%

3.53%

2006

3.23%

13.62%

2005

3.39%

3.00%

2004

2.68%

8.99%

2003

2.27%

26.38%

2002

1.59%

-23.37%

2001

2.83%

-13.04%

2000

3.38%

-10.14%

1999

2.19%

19.53%

1998

1.55%

26.67%

1997

2.34%

31.01%

1996

2.93%

20.26%

1995

2.81%

34.11%

1994

2.61%

-1.54%

1993

2.96%

7.06%

1992

3.03%

4.46%

1991

4.25%

26.31%

1990

5.39%

-6.56%

1989

4.83%

27.25%

1988

4.08%

12.40%

1987

3.66%

2.03%

1986

1.91%

14.62%

1985

3.55%

26.33%

1984

4.30%

1.40%

1983

3.22%

17.27%

1982

6.16%

14.76%

1981

10.35%

-9.73%

1980

13.58%

25.77%

1979

11.22%

12.31%

1978

7.62%

1.06%

1977

6.50%

-11.50%

1976

5.75%

19.15%

1975

9.20%

31.55%

1974

11.03%

-29.72%

1973

6.16%

-17.37%

1972

3.27%

15.63%

1971

4.30%

10.79%

1970

5.84%

0.10%

1969

5.46%

-11.36%

1968

4.27%

7.66%

1967

2.78%

20.09%

1966

3.01%

-13.09%

1965

1.59%

9.06%

1964

1.28%

12.97%

1963

1.24%

18.89%

1962

1.20%

-11.81%

1961

1.07%

23.13%

1960

1.46%

-2.97%

1959

1.01%

8.48%

1958

2.73%

38.06%

1957

3.34%

-14.31%

1956

1.52%

2.62%

1955

-0.28%

26.40%

1954

0.32%

45.02%

1953

0.82%

-6.62%

1952

2.29%

11.78%

1951

7.88%

16.35%

1950

1.09%

21.68%

           [view data as a chart]